Sitting on my hands: the discipline of a VIX below 16
Why a quiet VIX thins the premium on bull put spreads, the long calls I forced on squeeze plays instead of waiting, and what trusting the strategy actually costs.
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The Blog
Recaps, strategy, and mindset
Every post in one place. The process in the open, wins and losses included.
The mental stop: why the rule matters more than the order
Risk and reward, the 1x and 2x loss rules, reading market value against unrealized P&L, and the discipline to follow the line.
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Credit spreads, explained without the jargon
What a credit spread really is in plain language, the two versions, and the four numbers that decide every trade.
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Expected move: which number is the real one
Add the straddle, run the formula, or use the 1.25 and 0.85 multipliers. Why they disagree and which one belongs on your chart.
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The dead cat bounce: the market's most expensive trap
How to tell a relief rally from a real reversal, and why we wait for confirmation before selling a spread under the bounce.
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